Wednesday 1 July 2009

US federal deficits, debt, and conversation starters

Instapundit offered a chart on the growth of real and future central administration budget deficits a couple months ago:Treasury lists the numbers of the on-going rise in debt as well. The new upper limit for spending is 12.1 trillion USD, but we are close to that now at an estimated 11.3 trillion USD.09/30/2008 10,024,724,896,912.49 09/30/2007 9,007,653,372,262.48 09/30/2006 8,506,973,899,215.23 09/30/2005 7,932,709,661,723.50 09/30/2004 7,379,052,696,330.32 09/30/2003 6,783,231,062,743.62 09/30/2002 6,228,235,965,597.16 09/30/2001 5,807,463,412,200.06 09/30/2000 5,674,178,209,886.86 CBO provides various snapshots as well.My take on posts and comments on other blogs have included these observations:1. There are plenty of partisan viewpoints about responsibility for this shortfall and debt situation. This usually starts out with comments about who is responsible for the spending (with a hat tip to the Bush eight years of war and military spending funded by the mechanism of tax cuts), otherwise blaming the Dem congress of the last two years as controllers of spending, otherwise Obama for extending the Bush policies under TARP and military spending, but then adding "stimulus" and health care costs on top of all else. 2. Technical arguments about some forms of 'crowding out' of private asset otherwise not with the caveats of how money is spent domestically on public works, and which companies are favored in which administration (Cheny vs. Immelt?)3. Policy memes centered around domestic investments and consumption, fiscal responsibilty, incentive spending and 'multipliers', and how tax cuts will pay for current spending habits otherwise allowing the sunset of the Bush tax cuts. Little discussion of raising taxes consequently far. 4. Consideration of the current 'US trade shortfall with the world' as an underlying driver of our problems appears to be a somewhat trivial consideration in the current public debate apart from as part of 'we are financed by foreigners' otherwise protectionism is bad, 5. With little discussion of how we are to prepare ourselves for a future position in the world that involves less dominance, less internal consumption, better exports to imports ratios from a US perspective, and what kind of jobs are thus created.What could be re-worded otherwise has been absent out in broad strokes...obviously much detail and scope of particular interest? Five posts overall, with posts from Bears and guests to add proof and detail?
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